Preseason Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#141
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.2#223
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#258
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#72
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.2% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 1.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.3 11.2 12.1
.500 or above 52.7% 58.1% 29.4%
.500 or above in Conference 50.5% 54.0% 35.5%
Conference Champion 2.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.4% 10.3%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round3.3% 3.7% 1.3%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 81.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 34 - 47 - 13
Quad 49 - 216 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 257   Florida Gulf Coast W 71-62 81%    
  Nov 09, 2019 199   Valparaiso W 66-60 72%    
  Nov 13, 2019 192   Eastern Washington W 71-65 71%    
  Nov 17, 2019 17   Seton Hall L 64-74 19%    
  Nov 20, 2019 308   High Point W 68-55 87%    
  Nov 23, 2019 80   Belmont L 72-75 40%    
  Nov 27, 2019 101   @ Boston College L 64-70 29%    
  Dec 01, 2019 207   Southern Illinois W 68-61 73%    
  Dec 08, 2019 242   Tulane W 73-67 68%    
  Dec 14, 2019 25   Auburn L 64-76 16%    
  Dec 21, 2019 50   @ Kansas St. L 54-66 15%    
  Dec 29, 2019 326   Bethune-Cookman W 77-63 89%    
  Jan 02, 2020 126   @ Duquesne L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 05, 2020 237   Massachusetts W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 08, 2020 190   George Washington W 69-63 70%    
  Jan 11, 2020 105   @ Richmond L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 17, 2020 60   Dayton L 63-68 35%    
  Jan 22, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 59-71 16%    
  Jan 26, 2020 233   Fordham W 66-58 75%    
  Jan 29, 2020 189   @ La Salle W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 221   @ Saint Joseph's W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 05, 2020 126   Duquesne W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 60   @ Dayton L 60-71 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 189   La Salle W 71-65 68%    
  Feb 18, 2020 237   @ Massachusetts W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 21, 2020 28   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-70 25%    
  Feb 26, 2020 221   Saint Joseph's W 72-65 73%    
  Mar 01, 2020 86   @ Rhode Island L 63-71 25%    
  Mar 04, 2020 151   @ George Mason L 66-69 41%    
  Mar 07, 2020 115   St. Bonaventure W 62-61 52%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.0 0.8 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.0 1.2 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 4.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.4 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.3 0.9 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.0 4.9 6.8 9.2 11.2 12.2 12.0 11.0 9.4 7.4 5.1 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 93.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 83.0% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 48.2% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
14-4 20.8% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 4.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 33.6% 66.4% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 69.2% 17.8% 51.5% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 62.6%
16-2 0.7% 61.0% 19.9% 41.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 51.3%
15-3 1.6% 37.1% 13.2% 23.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 27.5%
14-4 3.0% 23.9% 13.0% 10.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3 12.5%
13-5 5.1% 14.8% 10.9% 3.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.4 4.4%
12-6 7.4% 5.1% 4.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.0 1.1%
11-7 9.4% 3.0% 2.7% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.3%
10-8 11.0% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.0%
9-9 12.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9
8-10 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
7-11 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
6-12 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 9.2
5-13 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 6.8
4-14 4.9% 4.9
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.7% 2.3% 1.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 96.3 1.5%